Email: Hhegre@prio.org
Mobile phone: 940 33 948
I am the Director of the , a research consortium dedicated to exploring novel methodologies to forecast violent conflicts and their impacts on society and human development.
I lead the project ANTICIPATE at ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ, as well as at Uppsala University.
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ Paper
Journal article in International Journal of Forecasting
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Journal article in World Development
Journal article in International Journal of Forecasting
Journal article in Research and Politics
A new study published in The Lancet journal, co-authored by ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ Research Professor HÃ¥vard Hegre, finds that the human cost of the conflict in the Gaza Strip was significantly higher than previously recorded by local health authorities.
Ukraine, Palestine/Israel, Sudan, Pakistan and Nigeria are projected to see the highest battle-related death tolls in 2026, according to a world-leading AI-driven conflict forecasting system.
The widely used ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ-GRID data framework has been awarded the prestigious J. David Singer Data Innovation Award.
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge invites researchers to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution, fully accounting for uncertainty to improve decision-making and crisis preparedness.
A new comprehensive review reveals that the detrimental effects of armed conflict extend far beyond the battlefield, with war reverberating through every aspect of human development.
The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS), a collaborative project between ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ and Uppsala University, has been awarded a Special Distinction by the prestigious Kluz Prize for PeaceTech.
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ hosts six research projects funded by prestigious grants for Europe’s most groundbreaking research. There is now an opportunity for journalists to spend 3-5 months at the institute and engage with these projects.
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ seeks to strengthen its data science competence by inviting applications for a three-year, full-time position as a Lead Machine Learning Engineer.
​ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ has been awarded $US700,000 in funding by the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF'D) for its cutting-edge research into a revolutionary early warning system that assesses the impact of conflict and climate shocks on humanitarian needs.
Do you want to work in a leading international research institution with high academic standards and an interdisciplinary environment and contribute to a new and original area of research, developing forecasting systems and tool?
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ researcher HÃ¥vard Hegre is part of a study covered by , , , , , and . Published in , it presents the first independent, representative survey conducted in Gaza during the ongoing conflict, estimating a death toll substantially higher than previously reported.
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ researcher HÃ¥vard Hegre was interviewed byon the first independent, representative survey conducted in Gaza, which estimates a death toll much higher than earlier reports.
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ researcher HÃ¥vard Hegre featured in on the VIEWS teams AI prediction system that illustrates the death toll that the wars of 2026 will leave.
Researcher Håvard Hegre’s VIEWS project on predicting conflict trends were featured in a TV piece on for the German news outlet, (watch at 2 mins
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ Researcher HÃ¥vard Hegre’s co-authored paper highlighting that economic forecasting models vastly underestimate the impact of conflict on marginalized countries was written on an article in the German newspaper, .
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ Researcher HÃ¥vard Hegre was interviewed by the national German state broadcaster , on the early warning system for forecasting conflict.
ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ started listing media appearances on profiles in 2023. Earlier media appearances may not be listed.
