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Michael Colaresi
External Research Associate
Email: mcolaresi@pitt.edu
Projects
Dec 2022 –
ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development
ANTICIPATE: Anticipating the Impact of Armed Conflict on Human Development
Apr 2023 – May 2025
VIEWS Prediction Competition: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
VIEWS Prediction Competition: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
Jan 2008 – May 2011
The Watchdog is Farsighted: Imperfect Legislative Oversight and National Security
The Watchdog is Farsighted: Imperfect Legislative Oversight and National Security
Jan 2007 – May 2011
How to Analyze Political Attention with Minimal Assumptions and Costs
How to Analyze Political Attention with Minimal Assumptions and Costs
Latest publications
All publications
HÃ¥vard Hegre et al. (2025)
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
HÃ¥vard Hegre, Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi (2022)
Lessons from an escalation prediction competition
Lessons from an escalation prediction competition
Journal article in International Interactions
Paola Vesco et al. (2022)
United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition
United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition
Journal article in International Interactions
Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi & HÃ¥vard Hegre (2022)
The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted
The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted
Popular article in ÌÇÐÄÍøÒ³°æ Blogs
HÃ¥vard Hegre et al. (2021)
ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
HÃ¥vard Hegre et al. (2019)
ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System
ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Michael Colaresi, Karen Rasler & William R. Thompson (2008)
Strategic Rivalries in World Politics: Position, Space and Conflict Escalation
Strategic Rivalries in World Politics: Position, Space and Conflict Escalation
Monograph
Burt Monroe, Michael Colaresi & Kevin Quinn (2008)
Fightin' Words: Lexical Feature Selection and Evaluation for Identifying the Content of Political Conflict
Fightin' Words: Lexical Feature Selection and Evaluation for Identifying the Content of Political Conflict
Journal article in Political Analysis
Patrick Brandt, Michael Colaresi & John R. Freeman (2008)
The Dynamics of Reciprocity, Accountability, and Credibility
The Dynamics of Reciprocity, Accountability, and Credibility
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Michael Colaresi & Sabine C. Carey (2008)
To Kill or to Protect: Security Forces, Domestic Institutions, and Genocide
To Kill or to Protect: Security Forces, Domestic Institutions, and Genocide
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
