Deterrence is a multi-dimensional 鈥溾, and it can be augmented by a seemingly incompatible activity 鈥 the peace diplomacy. The carefully prepared聽聽(which may supply the theme for my next Opinion article) should aim at more substantial outcome than just elaborations on President Volodymyr Zelensky鈥檚 鈥溾. The success is by no means guaranteed, and China鈥檚 participation, even as an observer, is not certain, but substantial progress toward ending the devastating and potentially catastrophic war with a just peace can be achieved. One country that is perfectly positioned for contributing to this progress and persuading Russia that the non-invitation to Switzerland doesn鈥檛 signify rejection of its security concerns is Turkey. President Putin is due to make the long-promised visit to Ankara, and the high-level discussion provides an opportunity to grant Russia an acceptable way out of the current deadlock 鈥 and to ensure that nuclear risks remain manageable.
Baev, Pavel K. (2024) Dismissal, Dissuasion and Deterrence: Optimizing Responses to Putin's Brinksmanship, Panorama UIK (1鈥3). 20 May.