As of February 2019, Myanmar鈥檚 Northern Alliance (NA) is a key player in the country鈥檚 armed conflicts. Prodded by China, the Myanmar government has engaged in informal talks with the NA鈥檚 four members, who are part of a broader political alliance: the Federal Political Negotiation and Consultative Committee (FPNCC). On 21 December 2018, the Myanmar Army (Tatmadaw) declared a four-month unilateral ceasefire in the areas where three of the four NA armies operate. Yet the army is engaged in a major counter-insurgency operation against the fourth member: the Arakan Army (AA), who carried out a surprise attack against Border Guard Police in Rakhine State on 4 January. On 5 February 2019, Facebook closed down the accounts of the Northern Alliance and its members, calling them 鈥渄angerous organizations鈥. What is the Northern Alliance? Can its members become full participants in Myanmar鈥檚 peace process?
T酶nnesson, Stein; Ne Lynn Aung & Marte Nilsen (2019) Will Myanmar鈥檚 Northern Alliance Join the Peace Process?, 糖心网页版 Policy Brief, 2. Oslo: 糖心网页版.