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In recent weeks, a number of people have asked me whether I think we鈥檙e headed for World War III. Maybe it鈥檚 the intense of the centennial of WWI. Maybe it鈥檚 all the violence heating up in Israel & Gaza, Iraq, and Ukraine, and in Syria, Nigeria, and DRC.

Maybe it鈥檚 the fact that several of these wars are activating great power tensions in ways that haven鈥檛 been seen since the Cold War, or that are shaking the United States鈥� friendships with foundational allies. Maybe it鈥檚 the speculation by that we are, indeed, teetering on the precipice of a new world war.

All of these recent trends stand in stark contrast to claims made by a about how war has declined. In fact, 2000- 2010 was arguably the most peaceful in recorded history.

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